Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Think Over the Long Haul

So many FFL players start overthinking the problem at this point in the season. We're almost halfway through and there have been a lot of surprising results in recent weeks. For fantasy players, this leads to outsmarting yourself a lot of time with your sit/start decisions, and how you use waiver wires and trades.

My advice is to stay consistent. Look at the top six or seven in each category and they're not changing much week to week. There will always be a couple of guys who come out of nowhere each week, and if you picked those guys you get to look smart and talk some stuff.

But real success is based on consistency, in fantasy football and the NFL. This is what Spotfire does for me. It shows who is most consistent, and then I can match consistent offensive performers up against the defenses they face each week, and make my decisions that way. I don't like just rolling the dice.

Hey, this worked for me as a player, too. I only missed two games to injury in 15 years in the NFL, because I wanted to be known as a guy who gave the same consistent effort every week. Didn't matter if I was banged up a little, or if it was going to be real cold, or even if I was facing real monsters like Lyle Alzado or Lawrence Taylor and Harry Carson. I wanted to be consistent--and you should be consistent in the way you run your team.

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