Thursday, September 24, 2009

Whose Next in the 1000/1000 Club?



Have you seen this Sports illustrated article by the Monday Morning QB? Towards the end of the article they compare Matt Forte to me saying that he has the potential to catch 90+ passes this season. I have to agree. Matt is a good player and he's pretty versatile in the Bears offense. Last year as a rookie he led all running backs in receptions with 63. With a year of experience under his belt and a gunslinger for a quarterback in Jay Cutler, I expect his numbers to rise.

This takes me back to my 1985 season when I became the first player to gain more than 1,000 yards rushing and 1,000 yards receiving in the same season. Forte and any other back looking to join the 1000/1000 club will need two things: endurance and maintenance. You have to be excellent shape to be an every down back, willing to run, block, and catch. You're also going to take a lot of hits so it's important that you take care of your body by eating right, getting sports massages, and making regular visits to the chiropractor. Besides Matt Forte, I think Reggie Bush, Maurice Jones-Drew, Leon Washington, and Brian Westbrook all have the potential to reach the 1000/1000 club. By no means will it be easy but I'm rooting for these guys to join Marshall Faulk and me in the club.

Tuesday, August 18, 2009

It’s my favorite time of year again…Football Season!

Welcome back to my fantasy football blog. There have been some awesome preseason games so I'm looking forward to the regular season starting soon. Like me, you’re probably gearing up for your fantasy football drafts. I'm feeling confident going into my drafts because I have a secret weapon – the TIBCO Spotfire Fantasy Football Tool. This data analysis application gives me an edge in my leagues by adding extra insight into each player’s average per-game production and game-to-game consistency, two key stats to consider when drafting for a fantasy team. Check it out for yourself: http://spotfire.tibco.com/fantasy_football

Based on the Spotfire analytics tool and what I'm seeing and hearing across the NFL, I think that a few guys are going to have breakout seasons. Make sure you draft these guys on your team! Check out the Roger’s picks tab to see my main guys.

Be sure to check out my blog often. I'm going to update it regularly with commentary and videos on what’s going on around the league and projections on which players will have big games.

Good luck with your drafts and fantasy seasons!

Friday, January 16, 2009

What Difference Does Experience Make?

So everyone's getting pumped about the NFC and AFC Championship games on Sunday. Everyone's talking about the players, about the defenses, about the offenses, what have you.

But think about the head coaches for a minute. These guys have a huge effect on fantasy stats during the season--if the coach has designed a great offense with multiple threats, then fantasy stats will be good from players on that team.

But of course the coaches also have a huge effect on the real games. Especially when we reach the conference championships and Super Bowl.

Andy Reid is the only guy of the four who has been here before. Yeah, I know he gets knocked for losing at this level, but don't forget that to lose at this level you gotta get there first!

Tomlin, Whisenhunt, and Harbaugh are all second-year guys. You might have to go all the way back to Bill Walsh to find a head coach who made it to the Super Bowl--and won--so early in his career. And remember, Bill wasn't really young then, because he didn't get his break as a head coach until he was 44 years old.

Just thinking...how important is Andy Reid's experience in determining who's going to win this week-end and at the Super Bowl?

Monday, January 12, 2009

Crunch Time

Both Baltimore and Pittsburgh did some HITTING over the week-end. It was good to see Big Ben in good form. I had him as my number 5 QB at the beginning of the season. Injuries made him a weak fantasy player this year, but it looks like he's healthy again.

Just like I thought, San Diego just didn't have enough without LT. The Chargers ended up having a good year and Phillip Rivers will be a top QB for many years. But we'll see if LT can get healthy again next season. Those toe injuries are nasty, and I think his toe injury caused his groin injury. It's a tough place to be and I got nothing but best wishes for him.

Philly-New York was a grudge match like we all thought it would be. You know, Eli Manning was a great Super Bowl champion last year and his teammates bust their tails for him. But look at the numbers, he was the Number 13 fantasy QB this year. He just didn't have enough to overcome Donovan, Westbrook, and that Philly defense.

It will be interesting to see if the Cards' firepower can overcome that defense. But whatever, I think Donovan is ready to lead Philly to another Super Bowl.

Pittsburgh and Baltimore both have strong, scary defenses. Pittsburgh has the edge on offense, even though Flacco has done a great job staying within himself as the Raven's QB. But the thing is, I like the Steelers' special teams, and I think this will be the difference in this game.

Friday, January 9, 2009

Now Let's Watch the Real Games

So the fantasy season has ended for most everyone, and I hope you had a good season. I know I did. Consistency, baby, consistency!

So now we can watch the playoffs and just enjoy the games. We don't have to worry about how our fantasy guys are doing.

This made me think about predicting some things. How will the great fantasy players do in the playoffs? Here are a few things:

* Baltimore-Tennesee. See here's an example of why I like to watch the real games in addition to watching my fantasy players. Neither of these teams had a single Top 10 fantasy player this year. But both teams made it this far, and the winner of this game has to be a favorite for the Super Bowl.

* Arizona-Carolina. And here's an example where fantasy football does matter haha! Kurt Warner was the top fantasy QB a lot of weeks. He ended up in the Top Five for the season. This was a real team offense. Larry Fitzgerald finished as the Number One receiver for the year, and both Breaston and Anquan made it into the Top 10.

For Carolina, DeAngelo Williams was the number one fantasy back. So expect all these guys to put up good numbers this week-end, because they are big-time players who base their whole year on playoff performance.

* Philadelphia-New York. Now for this game "throw out the record books" as they say. This is just Round 3 of the annual grudge match between these two hated rivals. Let's see who wants it more...New York as Defending Heavyweight Champ or Philly as the Comeback Kids?

* San Diego-Pittsburgh. This might be the most interesting game. Big Ben did not do well in fantasy, but that means nothing when it comes to a game like this. For San Diego, Phillip Rivers was the Number Two fantasy QB this year. But the big story will be whether Darren Sproles can continue to be the "biggest" back in the league.